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Improved Revenues Required Before G1 Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:GTHX) Stock's 27% Jump Looks Justified

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 19 07:56

G1 Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:GTHX) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 47%.

Although its price has surged higher, G1 Therapeutics may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.6x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 12.7x and even P/S higher than 64x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

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NasdaqGS:GTHX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 19th 2024

What Does G1 Therapeutics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for G1 Therapeutics as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think G1 Therapeutics' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, G1 Therapeutics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 61% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 82% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 62% per annum during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 164% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that G1 Therapeutics' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From G1 Therapeutics' P/S?

G1 Therapeutics' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of G1 Therapeutics' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for G1 Therapeutics you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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