share_log

XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd (SHSE:688778) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd (SHSE:688778) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司(上海證券交易所股票代碼:688778)在使用債務時承擔了一些風險
Simply Wall St ·  04/19 00:21

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen) Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688778) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司, Ltd.(上海證券交易所代碼:688778)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

債務可以幫助企業,直到企業難以償還債務,無論是新資本還是自由現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東們可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然令人痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd's Net Debt?

XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司的淨負債是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd had debt of CN¥1.62b at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥1.75b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥2.78b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.16b net cash position.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年3月底,XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司的債務爲16.2億元人民幣,較一年內的17.5億元人民幣有所減少。但另一方面,它也有27.8億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲11.6億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:688778 Debt to Equity History April 19th 2024
SHSE: 688778 2024 年 4 月 19 日債務與股本的比率記錄

How Strong Is XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd's Balance Sheet?

XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司的資產負債表有多強?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd had liabilities of CN¥4.56b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥924.5m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥2.78b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.52b due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥819.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司的負債爲45.6億元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲9.245億元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有27.8億元人民幣的現金以及價值35.2億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。所以它實際上有8.19億元人民幣 更多 流動資產超過總負債。

This short term liquidity is a sign that XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

這種短期流動性表明,XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司可能會輕鬆償還債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未緊張。簡而言之,XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有沉重的債務負擔!

It is just as well that XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 36% over the last year. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司的負荷也不是太重,因爲其息稅前利潤比去年下降了36%。當一家公司看到盈利下降時,它有時會發現與貸款機構的關係惡化。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益將決定XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最後,企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤根本無法減少債務。XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但仍然值得關注的是,該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司燒掉了大量現金。儘管投資者無疑預計這種情況將在適當的時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其使用債務的風險更大。

Summing Up

總結

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd has net cash of CN¥1.16b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd's balance sheet. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for XTC New Energy Materials(Xiamen)Ltd that you should be aware of.

雖然我們同情那些認爲債務擔憂的投資者,但您應該記住,XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司的淨現金爲11.6億元人民幣,流動資產也多於負債。因此,儘管我們看到了一些需要改進的領域,但我們對XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司的資產負債表並不太擔心。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們已經確定了XTC新能源材料(廈門)有限公司的兩個警告標誌,你應該注意這些標誌。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂?直接聯繫我們。 或者,給編輯團隊 (at) simplywallst.com 發送電子郵件。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論