share_log

What Torrid Holdings Inc.'s (NYSE:CURV) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 18 06:03

Those holding Torrid Holdings Inc. (NYSE:CURV) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Looking further back, the 13% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Torrid Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in the United States' Specialty Retail industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:CURV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2024

How Has Torrid Holdings Performed Recently?

Torrid Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Torrid Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Torrid Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Torrid Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 10%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 17% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 0.6% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 3.7%.

With this information, we find it concerning that Torrid Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as these declining revenues are likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Torrid Holdings' P/S?

Torrid Holdings' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our check of Torrid Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Torrid Holdings (including 2 which can't be ignored).

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment