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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About Shanghai Wondertek Software Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603189) 27% Share Price Plunge

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 17 21:34

The Shanghai Wondertek Software Co., Ltd (SHSE:603189) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 34% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Shanghai Wondertek Software's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 10x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Software industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.2x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603189 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 18th 2024

What Does Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Shanghai Wondertek Software's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Shanghai Wondertek Software's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.7% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 9.9% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 158% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 28%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai Wondertek Software's P/S?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Shanghai Wondertek Software's very lofty P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Wondertek Software's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shanghai Wondertek Software (at least 2 which are concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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