The Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300990) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 41% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 31.9x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 27x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 16% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 16% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 172% over the next year. With the market only predicted to deliver 36%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Despite the recent share price weakness, Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration's P/E remains higher than most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Sanhe Tongfei Refrigeration (2 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.