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Hainan Poly Pharm. Co., Ltd (SZSE:300630) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 17 18:35

The Hainan Poly Pharm. Co., Ltd (SZSE:300630) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 37% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, Hainan Poly Pharm may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 28x and even P/E's higher than 50x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Hainan Poly Pharm's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300630 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Hainan Poly Pharm's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Hainan Poly Pharm?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Hainan Poly Pharm's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 23% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 5.2% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 41% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 36%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that Hainan Poly Pharm is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Hainan Poly Pharm's P/E

Hainan Poly Pharm's recently weak share price has pulled its P/E below most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Hainan Poly Pharm's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Hainan Poly Pharm (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hainan Poly Pharm, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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