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Further Upside For Mongolian Mining Corporation (HKG:975) Shares Could Introduce Price Risks After 34% Bounce

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 17 18:22

Mongolian Mining Corporation (HKG:975) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 34% after a shaky period beforehand. The annual gain comes to 237% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.

Even after such a large jump in price, given about half the companies in Hong Kong have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 10x, you may still consider Mongolian Mining as an attractive investment with its 6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Mongolian Mining certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:975 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Mongolian Mining, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Mongolian Mining's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Mongolian Mining would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 287% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 681% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it odd that Mongolian Mining is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Mongolian Mining's P/E?

Despite Mongolian Mining's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Mongolian Mining currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider market forecast. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Mongolian Mining.

You might be able to find a better investment than Mongolian Mining. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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