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Investors Don't See Light At End Of China Merchants Energy Shipping Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601872) Tunnel

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 17 18:03

China Merchants Energy Shipping Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:601872) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 14.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 28x and even P/E's above 50x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

China Merchants Energy Shipping could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:601872 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on China Merchants Energy Shipping.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as China Merchants Energy Shipping's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 1.6%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 58% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% per year as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 21% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why China Merchants Energy Shipping is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From China Merchants Energy Shipping's P/E?

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of China Merchants Energy Shipping's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for China Merchants Energy Shipping you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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