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Investor Optimism Abounds Avicopter Plc (SHSE:600038) But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 17 18:00

When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 27x, you may consider Avicopter Plc (SHSE:600038) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 66.7x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Avicopter has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600038 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 17th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Avicopter.

Is There Enough Growth For Avicopter?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Avicopter's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 14% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with EPS shrinking 53% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 23% each year during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 21% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Avicopter's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Avicopter currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Avicopter you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Avicopter's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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