share_log

Further Weakness as Shanghai Fudan Forward S&T (SHSE:600624) Drops 21% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 73%

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 16 23:23

We're definitely into long term investing, but some companies are simply bad investments over any time frame. We really hate to see fellow investors lose their hard-earned money. Anyone who held Shanghai Fudan Forward S&T Co., Ltd (SHSE:600624) for five years would be nursing their metaphorical wounds since the share price dropped 73% in that time. And it's not just long term holders hurting, because the stock is down 41% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 32% in the last three months.

With the stock having lost 21% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

Because Shanghai Fudan Forward S&T made a loss in the last twelve months, we think the market is probably more focussed on revenue and revenue growth, at least for now. When a company doesn't make profits, we'd generally hope to see good revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

Over half a decade Shanghai Fudan Forward S&T reduced its trailing twelve month revenue by 9.7% for each year. That puts it in an unattractive cohort, to put it mildly. So it's not that strange that the share price dropped 12% per year in that period. We don't think this is a particularly promising picture. Ironically, that behavior could create an opportunity for the contrarian investor - but only if there are good reasons to predict a brighter future.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600624 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 17th 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling Shanghai Fudan Forward S&T stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 17% in the twelve months, Shanghai Fudan Forward S&T shareholders did even worse, losing 41%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 12% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shanghai Fudan Forward S&T better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Fudan Forward S&T you should know about.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment