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It's Down 30% But PhiChem Corporation (SZSE:300398) Could Be Riskier Than It Looks

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 16 19:12

The PhiChem Corporation (SZSE:300398) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 30%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 51% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, PhiChem may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 30x and even P/E's higher than 54x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, PhiChem's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300398 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on PhiChem will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?

PhiChem's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 26%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 32% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 40% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 36%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's peculiar that PhiChem's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Final Word

PhiChem's P/E has taken a tumble along with its share price. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that PhiChem currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for PhiChem that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than PhiChem. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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