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With A 33% Price Drop For Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300731) You'll Still Get What You Pay For

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 16 19:16

Shenzhen Cotran New Material Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300731) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 33% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 35% share price drop.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300731 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Keen to find out how analysts think Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.0% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 69% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 56% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 20% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd's P/S?

There's still some elevation in Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Chemicals industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Cotran New MaterialLtd (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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