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Market Cool On Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTech Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603918) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Lower

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 16 18:07

The Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTech Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603918) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 28% in that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Software industry is similar at about 4.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603918 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 16th 2024

What Does Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to lift, which has kept the P/S from declining. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 5.3% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 43% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 28%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Shanghai Golden Bridge InfoTechLtd has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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