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King Of Catering (Global) Holdings Ltd.'s (HKG:8619) 35% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 15 18:42

To the annoyance of some shareholders, King Of Catering (Global) Holdings Ltd. (HKG:8619) shares are down a considerable 35% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The good news is that in the last year, the stock has shone bright like a diamond, gaining 203%.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking King Of Catering (Global) Holdings is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.6x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Professional Services industry have P/S ratios below 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8619 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 15th 2024

What Does King Of Catering (Global) Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for King Of Catering (Global) Holdings, which is generally not a bad outcome. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on King Of Catering (Global) Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, King Of Catering (Global) Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.4%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 43% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 18% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that King Of Catering (Global) Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

There's still some elevation in King Of Catering (Global) Holdings' P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of King Of Catering (Global) Holdings revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for King Of Catering (Global) Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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