share_log

Take Care Before Jumping Onto Sino Oil and Gas Holdings Limited (HKG:702) Even Though It's 35% Cheaper

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 14 21:19

Sino Oil and Gas Holdings Limited (HKG:702) shares have had a horrible month, losing 35% after a relatively good period beforehand. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Sino Oil and Gas Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.6x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Oil and Gas industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:702 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 15th 2024

What Does Sino Oil and Gas Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Sino Oil and Gas Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Sino Oil and Gas Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Sino Oil and Gas Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 32%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 14% in total. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

When compared to the industry's one-year growth forecast of 1.6%, the most recent medium-term revenue trajectory is noticeably more alluring

With this information, we find it interesting that Sino Oil and Gas Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What We Can Learn From Sino Oil and Gas Holdings' P/S?

Following Sino Oil and Gas Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

To our surprise, Sino Oil and Gas Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 4 warning signs for Sino Oil and Gas Holdings (3 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sino Oil and Gas Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment