share_log

Quaker Chemical Corporation's (NYSE:KWR) Shares May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 13 09:11

There wouldn't be many who think Quaker Chemical Corporation's (NYSE:KWR) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Chemicals industry in the United States is similar at about 1.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:KWR Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 13th 2024

How Has Quaker Chemical Performed Recently?

With its revenue growth in positive territory compared to the declining revenue of most other companies, Quaker Chemical has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. Those who are bullish on Quaker Chemical will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Quaker Chemical.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Quaker Chemical would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. However, a few strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 38% in total over the last three years. So while the company has done a solid job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline as much as it has.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 4.0% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 7.4% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Quaker Chemical is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Quaker Chemical's P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Given that Quaker Chemical's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Quaker Chemical that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Quaker Chemical's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment