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Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Co., Ltd's (SHSE:605009) Fundamentals Look Pretty Strong: Could The Market Be Wrong About The Stock?

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 12 21:01

It is hard to get excited after looking at Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's (SHSE:605009) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.7% over the past week. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. In this article, we decided to focus on Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care is:

15% = CN¥471m ÷ CN¥3.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.15 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's Earnings Growth And 15% ROE

At first glance, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care seems to have a decent ROE. Especially when compared to the industry average of 11% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Despite this, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 3.5%. That's a bit unexpected from a company which has such a high rate of return. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 7.8% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:605009 Past Earnings Growth April 13th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 605009 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

While Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has a decent three-year median payout ratio of 37% (or a retention ratio of 63%), it has seen very little growth in earnings. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Moreover, Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has been paying dividends for three years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 50% over the next three years. However, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Hangzhou Haoyue Personal Care has some positive attributes. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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