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What You Can Learn From Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688039) P/SAfter Its 26% Share Price Crash

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 12 18:36

Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688039) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 44% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in China's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 4.9x, you may still consider Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 8.8x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688039 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 12th 2024

How Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 8.9% drop in revenue. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 39% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 28%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Final Word

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology's very lofty P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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