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These 4 Measures Indicate That Dillard's (NYSE:DDS) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 12 10:51

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Dillard's, Inc. (NYSE:DDS) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is Dillard's's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Dillard's had US$521.5m in debt in February 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has US$956.3m in cash to offset that, meaning it has US$434.9m net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:DDS Debt to Equity History April 12th 2024

How Healthy Is Dillard's' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Dillard's had liabilities of US$827.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$924.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$956.3m in cash and US$62.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$733.3m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Since publicly traded Dillard's shares are worth a total of US$6.83b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Dillard's also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

On the other hand, Dillard's's EBIT dived 19%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dillard's's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Dillard's may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Dillard's recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 88% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Summing Up

While Dillard's does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$434.9m. The cherry on top was that in converted 88% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$751m. So we are not troubled with Dillard's's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Dillard's (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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