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Xinji Shaxi Group Co., Ltd (HKG:3603) Shares May Have Slumped 74% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 10 18:59

The Xinji Shaxi Group Co., Ltd (HKG:3603) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 74%. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 79% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Xinji Shaxi Group's P/S ratio of 0.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3603 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 10th 2024

How Has Xinji Shaxi Group Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Xinji Shaxi Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Xinji Shaxi Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Xinji Shaxi Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.4% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 5.1% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 4.2% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Xinji Shaxi Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Xinji Shaxi Group looks to be in line with the rest of the Real Estate industry. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We find it unexpected that Xinji Shaxi Group trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Xinji Shaxi Group (of which 2 are a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Xinji Shaxi Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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