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Gaia, Inc. (NASDAQ:GAIA) Stock Rockets 26% But Many Are Still Ignoring The Company

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 10 06:10

The Gaia, Inc. (NASDAQ:GAIA) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. Looking further back, the 19% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Gaia's P/S ratio of 1.1x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Entertainment industry in the United States is also close to 1.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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NasdaqGM:GAIA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 10th 2024

What Does Gaia's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Gaia's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Gaia will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Gaia would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.0%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 20% in total. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 11%, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Gaia's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does Gaia's P/S Mean For Investors?

Gaia appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Gaia's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. When we see a strong revenue outlook, with growth outpacing the industry, we can only assume potential uncertainty around these figures are what might be placing slight pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Gaia that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Gaia, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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