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What Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688373) 26% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 9 19:16

Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688373) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 26% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 45% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Biotechs industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 6.8x, you may consider Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical as a stock not worth researching with its 40.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688373 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 9th 2024

How Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 88% gain to the company's top line. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 61% per annum during the coming three years according to the lone analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 209% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical's P/S?

Shares in Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It comes as a surprise to see Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical (including 1 which is a bit concerning).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai MicuRx Pharmaceutical, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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