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Knightscope, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:KSCP) 30% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 9 06:17

Knightscope, Inc. (NASDAQ:KSCP) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 30% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 2.1% over the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in the United States' Commercial Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.2x, you may consider Knightscope as a stock to avoid entirely with its 4.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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NasdaqCM:KSCP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 9th 2024

What Does Knightscope's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Knightscope as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Knightscope.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Knightscope's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 127% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 284% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 41% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 8.5%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this information, we can see why Knightscope is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Knightscope's P/S?

Knightscope's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Knightscope maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Commercial Services industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Knightscope has 6 warning signs (and 3 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Knightscope's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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