share_log

Improved Earnings Required Before Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited (HKG:874) Shares Find Their Feet

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 6 20:06

Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited's (HKG:874) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 19x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

There hasn't been much to differentiate Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' and the market's earnings growth lately. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this modest earnings performance may begin to slide. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:874 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 7th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the market for P/E ratios like Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 39% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should bring diminished returns, with earnings decreasing 6.8% per annum as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 14% per annum.

In light of this, it's understandable that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment