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U.S. Energy Corp. (NASDAQ:USEG) Stock Catapults 28% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 6 08:57

U.S. Energy Corp. (NASDAQ:USEG) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 28% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 8.8% over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, U.S. Energy's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Oil and Gas industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2x and even P/S above 4x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:USEG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 6th 2024

How U.S. Energy Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for U.S. Energy as its revenue has been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S. You'd much rather the company improve its revenue performance if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on U.S. Energy.

How Is U.S. Energy's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as U.S. Energy's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 27% decrease to the company's top line. The latest three year period has seen an incredible overall rise in revenue, a stark contrast to the last 12 months. So while the company has done a great job in the past, it's somewhat concerning to see revenue growth decline so harshly.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 2.2% during the coming year according to the one analyst following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 5.1% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we can see why U.S. Energy is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift U.S. Energy's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As expected, our analysis of U.S. Energy's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Having said that, be aware U.S. Energy is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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