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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Jiumaojiu International Holdings Limited (HKG:9922)?

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Jiumaojiu International Holdings Limited (HKG:9922)?

股票下跌和基本面穩健:市場對九毛九國際控股有限公司(HKG: 9922)的看法錯誤嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  04/05 18:00

Jiumaojiu International Holdings (HKG:9922) has had a rough three months with its share price down 6.2%. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jiumaojiu International Holdings' ROE today.

九毛九國際控股(HKG: 9922)經歷了艱難的三個月,其股價下跌了6.2%。但是,仔細觀察其良好的財務狀況可能會讓你重新考慮。鑑於基本面通常會推動長期市場業績,因此該公司值得關注。特別是,我們今天將關注九毛九國際控股的投資回報率。

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是用於評估公司管理層利用公司資本效率的關鍵指標。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

你如何計算股本回報率?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

ROE 可以通過以下公式計算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營業務)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiumaojiu International Holdings is:

因此,根據上述公式,九毛九國際控股的投資回報率爲:

14% = CN¥480m ÷ CN¥3.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

14% = 4.8億元人民幣 ÷ 34億元人民幣(基於截至2023年12月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every HK$1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated HK$0.14 in profit.

“回報” 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。這意味着,每獲得價值1港元的股東權益,該公司就會產生0.14港元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。根據公司選擇將多少利潤進行再投資或 “保留”,我們便能夠評估公司未來創造利潤的能力。假設其他條件都一樣,與功能不相同的公司相比,具有更高股本回報率和更高利潤保留率的公司通常具有更高的增長率。

Jiumaojiu International Holdings' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

九毛九國際控股的收益增長和14%的投資回報率

At first glance, Jiumaojiu International Holdings seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.1%. Probably as a result of this, Jiumaojiu International Holdings was able to see an impressive net income growth of 23% over the last five years. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

乍一看,九毛九國際控股的投資回報率似乎不錯。此外,該公司的投資回報率與行業平均水平的8.1%相比相當不錯。可能是由於這個原因,九毛九國際控股在過去五年中實現了令人印象深刻的23%的淨收入增長。我們認爲,這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,該公司的派息率很低或管理得很高效。

Given that the industry shrunk its earnings at a rate of 10% over the last few years, the net income growth of the company is quite impressive.

鑑於該行業在過去幾年中將收益縮減了10%,該公司的淨收入增長令人印象深刻。

past-earnings-growth
SEHK:9922 Past Earnings Growth April 5th 2024
SEHK: 9922 過去的收益增長 2024 年 4 月 5 日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Jiumaojiu International Holdings''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

收益增長是股票估值的重要因素。無論如何,投資者應設法確定預期的收益增長或下降是否已計入其中。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水還是沼澤水域在等着呢。如果你想知道九毛九國際控股的估值,可以看看這個衡量其與行業相比的市盈率指標。

Is Jiumaojiu International Holdings Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

九毛九國際控股是否有效地將其利潤再投資?

Jiumaojiu International Holdings' ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 20% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (80%) of its profits. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business as evidenced by the growth seen by the company.

九毛九國際控股的三年派息率中位數處於較低水平,爲20%,這意味着它保留了更高的利潤百分比(80%)。這表明管理層正在將大部分利潤再投資於業務增長,公司的增長就證明了這一點。

Besides, Jiumaojiu International Holdings has been paying dividends over a period of three years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 37% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Jiumaojiu International Holdings is speculated to rise to 20% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

此外,九毛九國際控股在三年內一直在派發股息。這表明該公司致力於與股東分享利潤。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,該公司的未來派息率預計將在未來三年內上升至37%。無論如何,儘管預計派息率會增加,但九毛九國際控股的未來投資回報率預計將升至20%。可能還有其他因素可能推動投資回報率的未來增長。

Summary

摘要

On the whole, we feel that Jiumaojiu International Holdings' performance has been quite good. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體而言,我們認爲九毛九國際控股的表現相當不錯。具體而言,我們喜歡該公司以高回報率再投資其利潤的很大一部分。當然,這導致該公司的收益大幅增長。最新的行業分析師預測顯示,預計該公司將保持目前的增長率。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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