share_log

Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603882)?

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 4 20:01

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group (SHSE:603882) has had a rough month with its share price down 6.7%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group is:

10% = CN¥874m ÷ CN¥8.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.10.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

At first glance, Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 7.9% doesn't go unnoticed by us. Especially when you consider Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's exceptional 34% net income growth over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, there might be some other aspects that are causing earnings to grow. For example, it is possible that the broader industry is going through a high growth phase, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

We then compared Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 7.0% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603882 Past Earnings Growth April 5th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 21% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (79%) of its profits. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business as evidenced by the growth seen by the company.

Additionally, Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group has paid dividends over a period of six years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 21%. However, Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's ROE is predicted to rise to 13% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with Guangzhou Kingmed Diagnostics Group's performance. Specifically, we like that it has been reinvesting a high portion of its profits at a moderate rate of return, resulting in earnings expansion. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment