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Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc.'s (NYSE:HLX) Shares Climb 26% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Apr 4 15:31

The Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. (NYSE:HLX) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 26%. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 50%.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Helix Energy Solutions Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S in the United States' Energy Services industry is similar at about 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:HLX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 4th 2024

How Helix Energy Solutions Group Has Been Performing

Recent times have been advantageous for Helix Energy Solutions Group as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this level of performance to taper off, keeping the P/S from soaring. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Helix Energy Solutions Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is Helix Energy Solutions Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

Helix Energy Solutions Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 48%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 76% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.1% each year as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 9.2% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Helix Energy Solutions Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Key Takeaway

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Helix Energy Solutions Group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

When you consider that Helix Energy Solutions Group's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Helix Energy Solutions Group with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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