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Market Cool On Gogox Holdings Limited's (HKG:2246) Revenues Pushing Shares 26% Lower

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 31 20:14

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Gogox Holdings Limited (HKG:2246) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 87% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Gogox Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Logistics industry in Hong Kong is about the same. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2246 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 1st 2024

What Does Gogox Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Gogox Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Gogox Holdings.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Gogox Holdings?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Gogox Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.6%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 42% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 35% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 13%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Gogox Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Bottom Line On Gogox Holdings' P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Gogox Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Logistics industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Looking at Gogox Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. However, if you agree with the analysts' forecasts, you may be able to pick up the stock at an attractive price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Gogox Holdings (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).

If you're unsure about the strength of Gogox Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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