share_log

Vanjee Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300552) 55% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 30 22:03

Vanjee Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300552) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 55% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 27%.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.9x, you may consider Vanjee Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 7.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300552 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 31st 2024

What Does Vanjee Technology's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent times have been advantageous for Vanjee Technology as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Vanjee Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Vanjee Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 74% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 18% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 24% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Vanjee Technology's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

The strong share price surge has lead to Vanjee Technology's P/S soaring as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It comes as a surprise to see Vanjee Technology trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Vanjee Technology that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment