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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Hebei Jianxin Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300107) After Shares Rise 76%

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 30 21:29

Hebei Jianxin Chemical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300107) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 76% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 24% is also fairly reasonable.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may consider Hebei Jianxin Chemical as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300107 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 31st 2024

What Does Hebei Jianxin Chemical's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Hebei Jianxin Chemical's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hebei Jianxin Chemical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hebei Jianxin Chemical would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 14%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 8.5% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hebei Jianxin Chemical's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Hebei Jianxin Chemical's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Hebei Jianxin Chemical have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Hebei Jianxin Chemical revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 5 warning signs for Hebei Jianxin Chemical (3 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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