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There's Reason For Concern Over Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300807) Massive 36% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 29 18:33

Those holding Zhengzhou Tiamaes Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300807) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 36% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 8.2% isn't as impressive.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 6.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 3.9x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300807 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024

How Has Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd's revenue has been unimpressive. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the benign revenue growth will improve to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 14% drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd's P/S?

The strong share price surge has lead to Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Zhengzhou Tiamaes TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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