With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.2x Gushengtang Holdings Limited (HKG:2273) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been advantageous for Gushengtang Holdings as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
How Is Gushengtang Holdings' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Gushengtang Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 33% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 44% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 21%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Gushengtang Holdings' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Gushengtang Holdings' P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Gushengtang Holdings maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Gushengtang Holdings that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Gushengtang Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.