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Tailam Tech Construction Holdings Limited (HKG:6193) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 43% Price Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 28 21:32

The Tailam Tech Construction Holdings Limited (HKG:6193) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 43%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 22% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Tailam Tech Construction Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when it essentially matches the median P/S in Hong Kong's Basic Materials industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:6193 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024

What Does Tailam Tech Construction Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Tailam Tech Construction Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Tailam Tech Construction Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Tailam Tech Construction Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 25% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 43% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 0.5% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Tailam Tech Construction Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Tailam Tech Construction Holdings' P/S?

Following Tailam Tech Construction Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We find it unexpected that Tailam Tech Construction Holdings trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Tailam Tech Construction Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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