China Beststudy Education Group (HKG:3978) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 42% gain in the last month alone. The annual gain comes to 258% following the latest surge, making investors sit up and take notice.
After such a large jump in price, China Beststudy Education Group may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.5x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 8x and even P/E's lower than 5x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, China Beststudy Education Group has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, China Beststudy Education Group would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 62%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 25% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 16% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 21% growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it concerning that China Beststudy Education Group is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Bottom Line On China Beststudy Education Group's P/E
The strong share price surge has got China Beststudy Education Group's P/E rushing to great heights as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that China Beststudy Education Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for China Beststudy Education Group you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than China Beststudy Education Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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