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Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings Limited's (HKG:2392) 30% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 28 19:05

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:2392) shares are down a considerable 30% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 53% share price decline.

Following the heavy fall in price, considering around half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.7x, you may consider Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2392 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 28th 2024

How Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think this respectable revenue growth might actually underperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 23% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 61% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What Does Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

The southerly movements of Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings.

If you're unsure about the strength of Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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