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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Allego N.V.'s (NYSE:ALLG) 41% Share Price Surge

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 28 08:55

Those holding Allego N.V. (NYSE:ALLG) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 41% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 42% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in the United States' Specialty Retail industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.4x, you may consider Allego as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:ALLG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 28th 2024

How Allego Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Allego has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Allego.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Allego's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 23% gain to the company's top line. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 256% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 48% per annum over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 5.7% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Allego's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Allego's P/S?

The large bounce in Allego's shares has lifted the company's P/S handsomely. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look into Allego shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Allego (3 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Allego's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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