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Why We're Not Concerned Yet About KWG Living Group Holdings Limited's (HKG:3913) 28% Share Price Plunge

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 27 20:34

KWG Living Group Holdings Limited (HKG:3913) shares have had a horrible month, losing 28% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 68% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think KWG Living Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Real Estate industry is similar at about 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:3913 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 28th 2024

How Has KWG Living Group Holdings Performed Recently?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, KWG Living Group Holdings' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on KWG Living Group Holdings will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For KWG Living Group Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, KWG Living Group Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.4% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 154% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 5.2% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 5.9% growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, it makes sense that KWG Living Group Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see average future growth and are only willing to pay a moderate amount for the stock.

What Does KWG Living Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Following KWG Living Group Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've seen that KWG Living Group Holdings maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement or deterioration in revenue isn't great enough to push P/S in a higher or lower direction. If all things remain constant, the possibility of a drastic share price movement remains fairly remote.

You need to take note of risks, for example - KWG Living Group Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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