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Transocean Ltd. (NYSE:RIG) Looks Just Right With A 31% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 27 15:41

Transocean Ltd. (NYSE:RIG) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 31% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 8.4% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in the United States' Energy Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.9x, you may consider Transocean as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:RIG Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 27th 2024

How Has Transocean Performed Recently?

Transocean could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Transocean will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Transocean would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 10.0% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 10% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 14% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 8.9% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's understandable that Transocean's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

What Does Transocean's P/S Mean For Investors?

Transocean shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We've established that Transocean maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Energy Services industry, as expected. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Transocean.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Transocean, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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