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Health Check: How Prudently Does Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology (SHSE:600841) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology (SHSE:600841) Use Debt?

健康檢查:上海新動力汽車科技(SHSE: 600841)如何謹慎地使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  03/26 21:28

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology Company Limited (SHSE:600841) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,上海新動力汽車技術有限公司(SHSE: 600841)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

債務會帶來什麼風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制業務。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。

What Is Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology's Debt?

上海新動力汽車科技的債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology had debt of CN¥3.54b at the end of December 2023, a reduction from CN¥3.85b over a year. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥6.22b in cash, so it actually has CN¥2.68b net cash.

您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2023年12月底,上海新動力汽車科技的債務爲35.4億元人民幣,較一年內的385億元人民幣有所減少。但是,其資產負債表顯示其持有62.2億元人民幣的現金,因此實際上擁有26.8億元人民幣的淨現金。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600841 Debt to Equity History March 27th 2024
SHSE: 600841 2024 年 3 月 27 日債務與股權比率的歷史記錄

How Strong Is Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology's Balance Sheet?

上海新動力汽車科技的資產負債表有多強?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology had liabilities of CN¥11.3b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.29b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.22b as well as receivables valued at CN¥5.27b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.11b.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,上海新動力汽車科技有一年內到期的113億元人民幣的負債,12.9億元人民幣的負債在此之後到期。除這些債務外,它有62.2億元人民幣的現金以及價值527億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額11.1億元人民幣。

Of course, Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥6.41b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

當然,上海新動力汽車科技的市值爲64.1億元人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。話雖如此,很明顯,我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況惡化。儘管確實有值得注意的負債,但上海新動力汽車科技的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲上海新動力汽車科技需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

Over 12 months, Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥8.7b, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.

在過去的12個月中,上海新動力汽車科技在息稅前利潤水平上出現虧損,收入降至87億元人民幣,下降13%。這不是我們希望看到的。

So How Risky Is Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology?

那麼上海新動力汽車科技的風險有多大?

We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And we do note that Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, over the last year. Indeed, in that time it burnt through CN¥213m of cash and made a loss of CN¥2.5b. While this does make the company a bit risky, it's important to remember it has net cash of CN¥2.68b. That kitty means the company can keep spending for growth for at least two years, at current rates. Overall, we'd say the stock is a bit risky, and we're usually very cautious until we see positive free cash flow. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology .

我們毫不懷疑,總的來說,虧損公司比盈利的公司風險更大。而且我們確實注意到,上海新動力汽車科技去年出現了息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損。事實上,在那段時間裏,它燒燬了2.13億加元的現金,損失了25億加元人民幣。儘管這確實使該公司有點風險,但重要的是要記住它的淨現金爲26.8億元人民幣。這意味着,按照目前的速度,公司可以將增長支出保持至少兩年。總的來說,我們會說這隻股票有點風險,在看到正的自由現金流之前,我們通常會非常謹慎。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們在上海新動力汽車技術有限公司發現的兩個警告標誌。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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