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Maxnerva Technology Services Limited's (HKG:1037) Shares Climb 54% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 25 19:16

Maxnerva Technology Services Limited (HKG:1037) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 54% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 32%.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Maxnerva Technology Services' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.3x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in Hong Kong, where the median P/E ratio is around 9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Maxnerva Technology Services over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1037 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 25th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Maxnerva Technology Services, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Maxnerva Technology Services' Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Maxnerva Technology Services' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.6%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 66% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Maxnerva Technology Services is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Key Takeaway

Maxnerva Technology Services appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Maxnerva Technology Services revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Maxnerva Technology Services that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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