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Eastman Kodak Company's (NYSE:KODK) Shares Bounce 38% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 21 08:05

Eastman Kodak Company (NYSE:KODK) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 38% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 30%.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Eastman Kodak's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.9x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 17x and even P/E's above 33x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Eastman Kodak has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:KODK Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 21st 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Eastman Kodak's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Eastman Kodak?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Eastman Kodak's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 328% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we can see why Eastman Kodak is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Eastman Kodak's P/E?

Eastman Kodak's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Eastman Kodak maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Eastman Kodak (1 can't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Eastman Kodak's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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