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Health Check: How Prudently Does Goldenmax International Group (SZSE:002636) Use Debt?

Health Check: How Prudently Does Goldenmax International Group (SZSE:002636) Use Debt?

健康檢查:Goldenmax International Group(深圳證券交易所:002636)如何謹慎地使用債務?
Simply Wall St ·  03/20 19:51

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Goldenmax International Group Ltd. (SZSE:002636) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到,Goldenmax國際集團有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002636)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是這筆債務是股東關心的問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

當企業無法通過自由現金流或以誘人的價格籌集資金來輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債就會變得有風險。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行其償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更常見(但仍然很痛苦)的情況是,它必須以低廉的價格籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,要做的第一件事就是綜合考慮其現金和債務。

What Is Goldenmax International Group's Debt?

Goldenmax 國際集團的債務是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Goldenmax International Group had CN¥45.0m of debt in September 2023, down from CN¥65.0m, one year before. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.08b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.03b net cash position.

你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示Goldenmax國際集團在2023年9月的債務爲4500萬元人民幣,低於一年前的6,500萬元人民幣。但另一方面,它也有10.8億元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲10.3億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002636 Debt to Equity History March 20th 2024
SZSE: 002636 2024 年 3 月 20 日債務與股權比率歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Goldenmax International Group's Balance Sheet?

Goldenmax 國際集團的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Goldenmax International Group had liabilities of CN¥2.32b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥80.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.08b as well as receivables valued at CN¥1.31b due within 12 months. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,Goldenmax國際集團的負債爲23.2億元人民幣,此後到期的負債爲8,020萬元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有10.8億元人民幣的現金以及價值13.1億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,這些流動資產與總負債大致相當。

Having regard to Goldenmax International Group's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥5.68b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Goldenmax International Group also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Goldenmax International Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

考慮到Goldenmax國際集團的規模,其流動資產與總負債似乎保持了良好的平衡。因此,儘管很難想象這家56.8億元人民幣的公司正在爲現金而苦苦掙扎,但我們仍然認爲值得監控其資產負債表。儘管確實有值得注意的負債,但Goldenmax International Group的現金也多於債務,因此我們非常有信心它可以安全地管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲Goldenmax國際集團需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Goldenmax International Group had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 11%, to CN¥3.7b. We would much prefer see growth.

去年,Goldenmax國際集團在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了11%,至37億元人民幣。我們更希望看到增長。

So How Risky Is Goldenmax International Group?

那麼 Goldenmax 國際集團的風險有多大?

While Goldenmax International Group lost money on an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) level, it actually booked a paper profit of CN¥52m. So when you consider it has net cash, along with the statutory profit, the stock probably isn't as risky as it might seem, at least in the short term. Until we see some positive EBIT, we're a bit cautious of the stock, not least because of the rather modest revenue growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 3 warning signs with Goldenmax International Group (at least 2 which are potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

儘管Goldenmax國際集團的利息稅前收益(EBIT)水平出現虧損,但其實際賬面利潤爲5200萬元人民幣。因此,當你考慮到它有淨現金和法定利潤時,該股票的風險可能沒有看起來那麼大,至少在短期內是如此。在我們看到息稅前利潤爲正數之前,我們對該股持謹慎態度,尤其是因爲收入增長相當溫和。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經向Goldenmax國際集團確定了3個警告信號(至少2個可能很嚴重),了解這些信號應該是您投資過程的一部分。

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

當一切都說完之後,有時更容易將注意力集中在甚至不需要債務的公司上。讀者現在可以100%免費訪問淨負債爲零的成長型股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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