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Getting In Cheap On Synaptics Incorporated (NASDAQ:SYNA) Is Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 19 08:43

It's not a stretch to say that Synaptics Incorporated's (NASDAQ:SYNA) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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NasdaqGS:SYNA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 19th 2024

What Does Synaptics' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Synaptics hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Synaptics.

How Is Synaptics' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Synaptics' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 41% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 20% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eleven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 4.1% over the next year. With the industry predicted to deliver 44% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Synaptics' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Given that Synaptics' revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Synaptics that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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