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Could The Market Be Wrong About Jardine Cycle & Carriage Limited (SGX:C07) Given Its Attractive Financial Prospects?

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 18 20:31

With its stock down 15% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Jardine Cycle & Carriage (SGX:C07). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jardine Cycle & Carriage's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jardine Cycle & Carriage is:

17% = US$3.0b ÷ US$18b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every SGD1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of SGD0.17.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Jardine Cycle & Carriage's Earnings Growth And 17% ROE

At first glance, Jardine Cycle & Carriage seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 8.4%. This probably laid the ground for Jardine Cycle & Carriage's moderate 11% net income growth seen over the past five years.

We then performed a comparison between Jardine Cycle & Carriage's net income growth with the industry, which revealed that the company's growth is similar to the average industry growth of 13% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SGX:C07 Past Earnings Growth March 19th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is C07 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Jardine Cycle & Carriage Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Jardine Cycle & Carriage has a three-year median payout ratio of 44%, which implies that it retains the remaining 56% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Moreover, Jardine Cycle & Carriage is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 40%. However, Jardine Cycle & Carriage's future ROE is expected to decline to 11% despite there being not much change anticipated in the company's payout ratio.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Jardine Cycle & Carriage's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. That being so, according to the latest industry analyst forecasts, the company's earnings are expected to shrink in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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