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Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co., Ltd's (SZSE:002273) 31% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 18 19:17

Zhejiang Crystal-Optech Co., Ltd (SZSE:002273) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 6.8% isn't as attractive.

Following the firm bounce in price, Zhejiang Crystal-Optech may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.3x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Zhejiang Crystal-Optech has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002273 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Crystal-Optech will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

Zhejiang Crystal-Optech's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 7.5% decrease to the company's bottom line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 40% as estimated by the eight analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 40% growth forecast for the broader market.

With this information, we find it interesting that Zhejiang Crystal-Optech is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Crystal-Optech's P/E?

Zhejiang Crystal-Optech shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Zhejiang Crystal-Optech's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Crystal-Optech that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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