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Dalian Friendship (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000679) Stock Rockets 27% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 18 19:03

Those holding Dalian Friendship (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000679) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Dalian Friendship (Group) is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 9.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Multiline Retail industry have P/S ratios below 1.6x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000679 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024

What Does Dalian Friendship (Group)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Dalian Friendship (Group)'s financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring revenue performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Dalian Friendship (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Dalian Friendship (Group)?

Dalian Friendship (Group)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. The lack of growth did nothing to help the company's aggregate three-year performance, which is an unsavory 49% drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Dalian Friendship (Group) is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Dalian Friendship (Group)'s P/S

Dalian Friendship (Group)'s P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Dalian Friendship (Group) revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Dalian Friendship (Group) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Dalian Friendship (Group)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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