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Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal Husbandry Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300967) 28% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 18 18:16

Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal Husbandry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300967) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 28% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 43% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Food industry is similar at about 1.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300967 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024

What Does Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd?

Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 46% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we find it interesting that Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd's P/S?

Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Ningxia Xiaoming Agriculture & Animal HusbandryLtd has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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