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Earnings Not Telling The Story For Hangzhou Huning Elevator Parts Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300669) After Shares Rise 40%

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 17 20:48

Hangzhou Huning Elevator Parts Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300669) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 40% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 51% in the last year.

After such a large jump in price, Hangzhou Huning Elevator Parts' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 53.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 31x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For example, consider that Hangzhou Huning Elevator Parts' financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300669 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 18th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hangzhou Huning Elevator Parts, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Hangzhou Huning Elevator Parts would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.4% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 17% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Hangzhou Huning Elevator Parts' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Hangzhou Huning Elevator Parts' P/E?

Hangzhou Huning Elevator Parts' P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Hangzhou Huning Elevator Parts revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Hangzhou Huning Elevator Parts that we have uncovered.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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