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Shiyan Taixiang Industry Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301192) Shares Climb 46% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 16 20:16

Shiyan Taixiang Industry Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301192) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 46% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 11% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider Shiyan Taixiang IndustryLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 47.6x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

As an illustration, earnings have deteriorated at Shiyan Taixiang IndustryLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301192 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shiyan Taixiang IndustryLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Shiyan Taixiang IndustryLtd's Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Shiyan Taixiang IndustryLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 32%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 54% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shiyan Taixiang IndustryLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Shiyan Taixiang IndustryLtd's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Shiyan Taixiang IndustryLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 4 warning signs for Shiyan Taixiang IndustryLtd (1 is concerning!) that we have uncovered.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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